Thursday, October 10, 2013

The Problem with the Pandora Model


Pandora currently holds the title as the number one online radio station with 70.8 million current active users and averages 1 billion listening hours a month. The first place title has come with a price as Pandora currently pays the highest licensing fee for royalties as compared with its competitors. The once positive relationship held between Pandora & their content providers, has been strained by the clear message Pandora has sent with the purchase of the South Dakota radio station KXMZ in  a continual attempt to lower its royalty payments paid to artists and musicians.
The problem
: Pandora’s concern lies in shareholder value, at the cost of its content providers a.k.a songwriters and musicians.
Let’s put Pandora’s business into perspective. They obtain their product for free. There is no cost incurred for Pandora to acquire a vast music library of millions of songs. Songs are submitted to them daily from artists and publishers free of charge. No upfront commission or advance is given. The cost ratio afterwards results in $0.0011 paid per radio stream. So from an investor’s standpoint, Pandora is a company with 150 million user base, half of them active who use the service 1 billion times a month. They obtain they’re product for free, (talk about low overheard) and they pay one dollar and some change for every 10,000 plays.
Focusing on the shareholders profits is not bad; in fact it is great thing for most companies. Pandora’s drew a clear line in sand stating we will do whatever it takes to protect the interest of our profits not at the cost of the musician’s profits.

Let’s put this in perspective.

Pandora argues that traditional radio stations pay a lower licensing rate. I  <3 Radio which is an internet radio company pays the same low rate as terrestrial  brick and mortar FM stations because they are owned by clear channel communications who operates the majority traditional (terrestrial) radio stations. It’s not just I heart radio: Spotify, last.fm, Google play and now Apple Radio all pay a lower licensing rate.
It would make sense to argue in the case of equal rates for all streaming services but Pandora wants to equate themselves with paying the same low rate as traditional radio stations. Here is why it can’t work:
·         Traditional (terrestrial) radio stations were given lower royalty rates because radio play was considered free advertising for songs that being supported by record sales.
·         The rotation ratio for a song on a radio is miniscule compared to a streaming service.
If a #1 hit song was played three times and hour, every hour for a year that would equal 26, 208 plays. Small market indie bands get this airplay from online radio stations in 3 months. Radio has a ceiling based on how many songs it can play in 24 hours. Online streaming is infinite; the two cannot be treated equally.
·         Music currently is not being supported by large record sales, and current trends dictate the future of music consumption to be primarily streamed; not purchased.

Pandora is taking a step backwards in trying to apply outdated royalty licensing rates to a modern music platform plagued by declining music sales. It is not a matter of if, but when music’s sole distribution is in the form of online streaming. At that point will $0.0011 per play be enough to sustain a business model for the music creators who Pandora’s whole business model relies upon?

What the consumer wants

Let’s face the facts, business is about the consumer. This is true for both the songwriter and the distribution service like Pandora. We know that music consumers want:
·         Convenient methods of consuming music. From listening to radio in your car, to having your entire music library on your phone, the easiest way to “tune in” dictates most consumers’ decisions.
·         A Digital format. While vinyl might be making a revival, the percentage of digital music demanded, is exponentially greater than all physical formats combined.
·        Cheap and Free. The mp3 standardized the $1 per song valuation. Now online streaming provides listeners with an infinite musical library at no cost. They have their cake and want to eat it for free too.

The Trade Off

Artists currently use Pandora as platform for exposure. Exposure for an artist has traditionally been worth its weight in gold. The cost value of obtaining a fan base and getting heard has been worth as many free songs that one could give away, because in the long run a majority of those fans, would purchase your music. Today, however, music consumers have moved away from traditional models of purchasing music and even the mp3 download has lost traction to subscription services that offer an unlimited library. For an Artist, would the tradeoff be same if another internet radio company offers better royalty rates per play? The question then arises, “how much longer can Pandora market themselves to Artists and musicians alike solely as platform of discovery?” Check out this graph for a visual on how much artists truly make from online music. http://www.informationisbeautiful.net/2010/how-much-do-music-artists-earn-online/

The Bottom Line?
The future clearly is indicative that fans want to stream music as opposed to purchasing it. If so, where will the funding come from? Ever since recorded music became possible, fans have been able to have unlimited access and use to a song for a small one time price. If future revenue is not collected and paid to an artist before a consumer has unlimited access to the song, the per play use for a song will in no doubt have to increase to a more sustainable level. Online streaming services earn most of their income through advertisements but we are now seeing many services (Pandora included) charging monthly subscription fees for access to their libraries, in which none of this revenue goes to paying for the content they provide. Should these companies charge users a onetime fee per artist or album they listen to? How much are music users willing to pay for and how much free music can Artists afford to keep giving away?

By- Jackson hunt  

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